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Big four firm tips weakening SMSF growth

Miranda Brownlee
19 November 2015 — 1 minute read

The retail super fund sector will see significant growth over the next 20 years, overtaking SMSFs as the largest superannuation segment by 2035, according to one big four firm.

In its report, Dynamics of the Australian Superannuation System, Deloitte predicted the retail fund segment will grow from its current market share of 26 percent in 2015 to 34 per cent in 2035, while the SMSF segment will see its market share fall from its current 34 per cent to 30 per cent in 2035.

According to the report, the retail fund sector is projected to reach $3 trillion in assets by 2034.


Deloitte Australia principal of superannuation consulting Diane Somerville said while SMSFs are expected to lose market share overall, they will continue to dominate the post-retirement space.

SMSF assets in the post-retirement phase are predicted to reach $900 billion in 2033 and eclipse the post-retirement retail segment by 2028.

Ms Somerville said this dominance by SMSFs in post-retirement could be the result of factors such as SMSFs offering greater control over superannuation and the ability to harness the greater flexibility of family-based accounts for those members with larger account balances in particular.

“The tax advantages available within an SMSF structure for those transitioning from pre-retirement to post-retirement in terms of savings on capital gains tax and the sale of assets is another key benefit of SMSFs,” she said.

“[However,] we note there is nothing in the way of retail and industry funds offering these same advantages to members, other than the ability of their systems and processes to make this work.”

This projection for SMSFs also relates to the fact that retail and industry fund members are expected to take out a significant proportion of benefits as lump sums which will have a dampening effect on the level of post-retirement assets in those funds.

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Miranda Brownlee

Miranda Brownlee


Miranda Brownlee is the deputy editor of SMSF Adviser, which is the leading source of news, strategy and educational content for professionals working in the SMSF sector.

Since joining the team in 2014, Miranda has been responsible for breaking some of the biggest superannuation stories in Australia, and has reported extensively on technical strategy and legislative updates. Miranda has also directed SMSF Adviser's print publication for several years. 

Miranda also has broad business and financial services reporting experience, having written for titles including Investor Daily, ifa and Accountants Daily.

You can email Miranda on: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it.

Big four firm tips weakening SMSF growth
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